Clinton Leads Trump 47-35 in NY

Driven by a 3 – 1 lead in New York City, Democratic Presidential candidate Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump 47 – 35 percent among all New York State voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Both candidates have negative favorability ratings, 41 – 52 percent for Clinton and 32 – 61 percent for Trump, the independent Quinnipiac University Poll finds.

Clinton leads among all age groups, especially among voters 18 to 34 years old, who go Democratic 53 – 18 percent. There is a yawning gender gap, with men tipping to Trump 44 – 40 percent, while women back Clinton 54 – 28 percent.

New York City voters back Clinton 63 – 20 percent, while upstate voters go to Trump 48 – 36 percent. Suburban voters are divided, with 40 percent for Trump and 39 percent for Clinton.

Both candidates suffer from lower levels of same-party support than winning candidates normally receive, as Clinton leads 82 – 10 percent among Democrats, while Trump takes Republicans 76 – 9 percent. Independent voters back Clinton 41 – 35 percent.

With third party candidates in the race, Clinton gets 45 percent, with Trump at 33 percent, Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson at 6 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 4 percent.

“As Republicans rally in Cleveland and Democrats prepare for their Philadelphia convention, Hillary Clinton seems to have her adopted home state votes safely locked up,” said Quinnipiac University Poll Assistant Director Maurice Carroll.

“Donald Trump’s a native New Yorker. He even sounds like one, compared with Clinton’s flat Midwestern accent, but he lags by double digits in the state where they’ll both vote,” Carroll added.

“There’s a big gender gap. Women are solidly for the first woman nominee of a major party. Even though she calls Chappaqua home, Clinton trails Trump among men.”

Donald Trump’s selection of Indiana Gov. Mike Pence as his running mate was a good choice, New York State voters say 43 – 21 percent, but 59 percent of voters don’t know enough about Pence to form an opinion of him.

“Picking Pence had no noticeable effect on Trump’s New York numbers,” Carroll said.

U.S. Senate Race

In New York State’s U.S. Senate race, Democratic incumbent Sen. Charles Schumer leads Republican challenger Wendy Long 60 – 28 percent. Schumer is ahead among every gender, age and regional group listed, and among Democrats and independent voters, while Long has a lackluster 62 – 24 percent lead among Republicans.

New York State voters approve 62 – 29 percent of the job Schumer is doing and give him a 57 – 25 percent favorability rating.

For Long, 74 percent haven’t heard enough to form an opinion of her.

Voters approve 56 – 22 percent of the job Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand is doing.

President Obama Approval

New York State voters approve 56 – 40 percent of the job President Barack Obama is doing, his best score in more than three years. Approval is 70 – 25 percent in New York City and 52 – 46 percent in the suburbs, while upstate voters disapprove 52 – 45 percent.

From July 13 – 17, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,104 New York State voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.